ZBRA

Zebra Technologies Corporation

TechnologyCommunication EquipmentNASDAQ

$208.27

+$0.76 (0.37%)today

Conviction

5/ 10

Fair Value$175

Upside-15.97%

Signal0

Market Cap$10.1B

52W Range$199.05–$352.66

Next EarningsMay 12

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$138.48

Current Price$203.97

Upside / Down-32.1%

P(Undervalued)4.1%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)83.4%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

4.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

10.2%/yr

±4.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

13.2%/yr

±2.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4

Conviction: unchanged

FY2025 10-K Analysis: Solid Foundation, Elevated Valuation

Quality AIDC leader with market dominance but FY2025 showed margin pressure (gross margin -30bps), EPS decline (-20%), and significant integration risk from $1.3B Elo acquisition. Tax rate headwind (1...