WY

Weyerhaeuser Company
Real EstateREIT - SpecialtyNASDAQ
$24.56
+$1.48 (6.04%)today
Conviction
5/ 10
Fair Value$31.82
Upside+29.55%
Signal14.78
Market Cap$17.5B
52W Range$21.16–$29.59
Next EarningsApr 30

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:05 PM65conviction-rescore

Target $78 vs current $23.50 — extreme divergence, likely stale target. Wood Products deflation -5% YoY, lumber -7%, housing downturn. Real Estate executing but not enough to offset. Target should probably be ~$28-32 at current lumber prices. Downgrade until target refreshed.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 9% valid
Low confidence model
Fair Value$1.33
Current Price$23.73
Upside / Down-94.4%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

32.6%/yr

±5.7% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
WY 2025 10-K: Housing pressure masks RE execution

WY navigating wood deflation while RE execution + climate solutions scaling drive diversification. Housing headwind near-term, but REIT structure + scale advantages intact. Housing recovery + climate ...