WDC

Western Digital Corporation
TechnologyComputer HardwareNASDAQ
$294.50
-$10.05 (-3.41%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$321
Upside+9.00%
Signal0
Market Cap$86.0B
52W Range$28.83–$319.62
Next EarningsMay 6

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$61.04
Current Price$286.21
Upside / Down-78.7%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

65.8%/yr

±4.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Western Digital Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells data storage devices and solutions based on hard disk drive (HDD) technology in the United States, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Trailing P/E23.8x
Forward P/E18.7x
P/S8.0x
EPS (TTM)$10.57
Analyst Target$321
Analyst Upside9.0%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qMar 1
Conviction: unchanged
WDC Q2 FY2026 10-Q: Pure-Play HDD Thesis Delivering, But Stock Pricing In Perfection

Post-Sandisk-separation WDC is firing on all cylinders: 25% revenue growth, 800bps gross margin expansion to 45.7%, .25B H1 FCF. Cloud/AI demand driving everything. Key risk: .6B convertible notes at ...