VTR

Ventas, Inc.

Real EstateREIT - Healthcare FacilitiesNASDAQ

$82.93

-$4.18 (-5.04%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$92.75

Upside+11.84%

Signal0

Market Cap$38.8B

52W Range$60.15–$88.37

Next EarningsApr 29

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$62.09

Current Price$87.79

Upside / Down-29.3%

P(Undervalued)9.8%

P(20%+ Up)1.6%

P(15%+ Down)75.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

9.8% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

18.7%/yr

±5.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

28.1%/yr

±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Ventas, Inc.

Trailing P/E151.2x

Forward P/E85.3x

P/S6.7x

EPS (TTM)$0.54

Analyst Target$92.75

Analyst Upside11.8%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

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