TRMB

Trimble Inc.
TechnologyScientific & Technical InstrumentsNASDAQ
$63.43
-$3.23 (-5.09%)today
Conviction
7/ 10
Fair Value$91
Upside+43.47%
Signal30.43
Market Cap$14.9B
52W Range$52.91–$87.50
Next EarningsMay 6

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 5:05 PM67conviction-rescore

Strong fundamentals: 69.1% gross margin, 16.5% op margin, ARR +6% organic, AECO +10%. Target $87 vs current $66 = +31.7% upside. Platform transition to recurring model solid. Missing: catalyst for multiple re-rating near-term.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 3,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$23.36
Current Price$66.60
Upside / Down-64.9%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

23.7%/yr

±5.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

42.9%/yr

±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
TRMB FY2025: Margin expansion despite macro headwinds; strategic pivot to recurring revenue bearing fruit

TRMB FY2025: Gross margin 69.1% (+400bps), operating margin 16.5% (+400bps) despite -3% total revenue. Subscription/services growth +2%, ARR +6% organic. AECO segment +10%, strong momentum. Divestitur...