No conviction changes recorded
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
31.7%/yr
±4.7% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
29.4%/yr
±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Coach accelerating with 25%+ growth and 39.5% margins, but Kate Spade collapse (op margin 4.5% in Q2) masks underlying weakness. Tariffs are 190 bps headwind in Q2. Debt manageable post-Capri terminat...