QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated
TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ
$130.30
-$0.17 (-0.13%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$155.67
Upside+19.47%
Signal0
Market Cap$135.7B
52W Range$120.80–$205.95
Next EarningsApr 29

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$122.31
Current Price$129.90
Upside / Down-5.8%
P(Undervalued)36.7%
P(20%+ Up)7.6%
P(15%+ Down)28.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

36.7% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

6.5%/yr

±4.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-0.5%/yr

±2.4% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

QUALCOMM Incorporated engages in the development and commercialization of foundational technologies for the wireless industry worldwide.

Trailing P/E25.6x
Forward P/E11.4x
P/S3.0x
EPS (TTM)$4.96
Analyst Target$155.67
Analyst Upside19.5%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
QCOM Q1 FY2026 10-Q: Cheap Multiple Masks Apple Modem Headwind, Data Center Pivot Underway

Revenue +5% YoY to .25B but net income -6% to .0B as cost inflation bites. QCT automotive +15% and IoT +9% diversification real but insufficient to offset impending Apple modem share loss. Alphawave a...