Target $30.50 is BELOW current price $38.14 — negative upside of -20%. Stable regulated utility with 3-5% rate base growth, but trading above our fair value estimate. No compelling entry at current levels.
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
25.1%/yr
±7.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Stable regulated utility with 3 regional franchises. Rate base growth 3-5% annually. Capital-intensive with strong moat. Dividend focus, modest growth. Primary risks: regulatory execution and energy t...