OPTX

Syntec Optics Holdings, Inc.

TechnologyElectronic ComponentsNASDAQ

$8.21

+$1.32 (16.12%)today

Conviction

4/ 10

Fair Value$10

Upside+21.80%

Signal8.72

Market Cap$243.7M

52W Range$1.02–$9.15

Next Earnings—

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$1.84

Current Price$6.64

Upside / Down-72.3%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

33.1%/yr

±4.4% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

90.6%/yr

±5.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

analysisMar 12

Conviction: unchanged

Syntec Optics (OPTX): Defense-Driven Photonics Micro-Cap with Real Catalysts

Syntec Optics is a Rochester NY-based precision optics manufacturer with growing exposure to high-value defense contracts: missile guidance, night vision (ENVG-B), AR/XR battlefield systems, and LEO s...