NOW

ServiceNow, Inc.

TechnologySoftware - ApplicationNASDAQ

$103.17

-$9.56 (-9.27%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$188.67

Upside+82.87%

Signal0

Market Cap$110.8B

52W Range$98–$211.48

Next EarningsApr 22

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$56.51

Current Price$110.38

Upside / Down-48.8%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

32.6%/yr

±4.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

14.1%/yr

±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

ServiceNow, Inc.

Trailing P/E62.9x

Forward P/E20.9x

P/S8.3x

EPS (TTM)$1.67

Analyst Target$188.67

Analyst Upside82.9%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

ServiceNow FY2025 10-K: AI Platform Moat Intact, Valuation Compressed Post-Split

FY2025: Revenue .3B (+21% YoY), FCF .6B (+34%, 35% margin), Non-GAAP OpInc .1B (+27%). RPO .2B (+27%), cRPO +25% — 2+ years of forward visibility. 98% renewal rate. 603 customers >M ACV (+20%). Stock ...