MSCI

MSCI Inc.

Financial ServicesFinancial Data & Stock ExchangesNASDAQ

$529.29

-$26.10 (-4.93%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$678.31

Upside+28.16%

Signal0

Market Cap$39.1B

52W Range$486.74–$626.28

Next EarningsApr 21

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$188.32

Current Price$552.63

Upside / Down-65.9%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

32.0%/yr

±3.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

26.4%/yr

±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

MSCI Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides research-based data, analytics, and indexes, supported by advanced technology worldwide.

Trailing P/E33.9x

Forward P/E24.2x

P/S12.5x

EPS (TTM)$15.70

Analyst Target$678.31

Analyst Upside28.2%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

MSCI 2025 10-K: Solid recurring revenue model with scale in indexes, facing headwinds from macro uncertainty and ESG scrutiny

MSCI: Scale SaaS index/analytics provider with 57% recurring Index revenue, 22.8% Analytics, 11.3% Sustainability. Strong market position but vulnerable to client self-sufficiency, BlackRock concentra...