MPWR

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

TechnologySemiconductorsNASDAQ

$1,113.64

+$39.71 (3.57%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$1,328.29

Upside+19.27%

Signal0

Market Cap$49.2B

52W Range$438.86–$1,256.22

Next EarningsApr 30

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$219.72

Current Price$1068.85

Upside / Down-79.4%

P(Undervalued)0.0%

P(20%+ Up)0.0%

P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

57.5%/yr

±4.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.

Trailing P/E78.0x

Forward P/E38.8x

P/S17.6x

EPS (TTM)$12.85

Analyst Target$1,328.29

Analyst Upside19.3%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

No analysis yet

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

MPWR 10-K restatement and material weakness in controls offset positive revenue diversification and AI/datacenter exposure. Execution risk elevated.