MDT

Medtronic plc
HealthcareMedical DevicesNASDAQ
$87.73
+$0.52 (0.60%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$111.08
Upside+26.62%
Signal0
Market Cap$110.1B
52W Range$79.55–$106.33
Next EarningsMay 20

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$74.22
Current Price$86.16
Upside / Down-13.9%
P(Undervalued)26.9%
P(20%+ Up)8.3%
P(15%+ Down)47.6%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

26.9% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

5.4%/yr

±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

8.0%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Medtronic plc develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients in the United States, Ireland, and internationally.

Trailing P/E24.0x
Forward P/E14.2x
P/S3.1x
EPS (TTM)$3.58
Analyst Target$111.08
Analyst Upside26.6%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10qMar 1
Conviction: unchanged
MDT Q3 FY2026 10-Q: Cardiovascular Momentum Masked by Litigation Overhang & Separation Complexity

Q3 beat on revenue (+9% YoY to .0B) driven by Cardiovascular (+14%) and Diabetes (+15%), but GAAP EPS declined to /bin/zsh.89 vs .01 as restructuring ballooned (M) and litigation charges hit (M). Non-...