J

Jacobs Solutions Inc.
IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionNASDAQ
$125.99
-$3.14 (-2.49%)today
Conviction
7/ 10
Fair Value$157.53
Upside+25.04%
Signal17.53
Market Cap$14.7B
52W Range$105.18–$168.44
Next EarningsMay 5

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$123.76
Current Price$125.89
Upside / Down-1.7%
P(Undervalued)47.1%
P(20%+ Up)15.2%
P(15%+ Down)23.3%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

47.1% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

4.2%/yr

±4.5% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

13.5%/yr

±3.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

analysisMar 11
Conviction: unchanged
Jacobs Solutions: Pure-Play Consulting Emergence — PA Consulting Full Buyout the Defining Catalyst

Jacobs has completed its transformation: CMS/cyber sold to Amentum (received $70M + AMTM shares), full PA Consulting acquisition announced Jan 2026 at £1.2B/$1.6B. Result: a pure-play professional ser...

sec_10qMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
Q1 FY2026: Separation Win + PA Consulting Accretion — Transformation Play

J executing transformation from conglomerate to pure-play consulting firm. Q1 revenue +12% (+16% PA, +12% I&AF). Gross margin compressed to 23.2% (project mix). Separation complete; PA Consulting acqu...