No conviction changes recorded
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
47.9%/yr
±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
HOOD delivered record $4.5B revenue and $1.88B net income in 2025 with strong margin expansion (56% Adj EBITDA) and 4.2M Gold subscribers (15%+ adoption). Growth diversifying beyond equities into opti...
HOOD achieved first full-year profitability (FY2025: .473B revenue, +51.6% YoY, B+ net income). Most significant finding: PFOF now ~50% of revenue vs. 80%+ prior, replacing with 33.5% interest income ...
Revenue doubled to $4.5B, EPS $2.05. 27M funded customers, 4.2M Gold subscribers. Crypto & prediction markets driving growth. Prediction markets (Rothera JV) emerging as competitive moat. Regulatory r...
HOOD achieved first profitable full-year (FY2025: $4.473B revenue, $2.05 EPS, 42% net margin) with successful diversification—crypto/event contracts now ~40% of transaction revenue. However, trailing ...
Amendment addresses technical EDGAR formatting issues only. No material changes to disclosures, financials, or business operations. Prior 2025 full-year profitability and 51.6% revenue growth remain u...
HOOD revenue growth strong at 51.6%, profitability achieved, but PFOF regulation risk (SEC rules mid-2026) and crypto uncertainty will pressure earnings. Diversification helps but PFOF still material....