Hasbro: DCF P(above)=66.2%, FV=$104 vs price $91.6. Above 200dma. No PE (recent losses). Analyst target $113 (23% upside). Post-restructuring, IP monetization (D&D, Magic, Monopoly). DCF supportive, analyst target gives 23% upside, but no catalyst timing identified. Neutral-lean with potential — missing catalyst and clean earnings track record post-restructuring.
Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
73.4% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
0.7%/yr
±4.9% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
-0.7%/yr
±3.2% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).
MAGIC driven 44.7% growth in Wizards segment with 46% margins. Consumer Products impairment signals structural challenges in physical toy business. Tariff headwinds and digital game execution risk are...