GEV

GE Vernova Inc.
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryNASDAQ
$822.02
-$56.46 (-6.87%)today
Conviction
7/ 10
Fair Value$950
Upside+15.57%
Signal10.9
Market Cap$221.8B
52W Range$252.25–$948.38
Next EarningsApr 22

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$208.60
Current Price$853.16
Upside / Down-75.5%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

37.5%/yr

±2.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

42.5%/yr

±4.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

analysisMar 13
Conviction: unchanged
GEV 2026: Power Grid Supercycle, $150B Backlog, Wind Drag — Electrification Compounder

GE Vernova is a dominant power infrastructure franchise with $150B backlog and 83 GW gas turbine book through 2029. Power and Electrification segments exceptional; Wind structurally challenged. Convic...

sec_10kFeb 28
Conviction: unchanged
GE Vernova FY2025 10-K: Power & Electrification Engine, Wind Drag

FY2025 revenue .1B (+9%), orders .3B (+34%), total backlog B (+B YoY). Adj EBITDA margin 8.4% (+210bps). FCF .7B (+118%). Power and Electrification driving thesis; Wind remains drag. 2026 guidance rai...