GDDY

GoDaddy Inc.
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureNASDAQ
$81.71
-$2.35 (-2.88%)today
Conviction
7/ 10
Fair Value$117.67
Upside+44.01%
Signal30.81
Market Cap$11.1B
52W Range$73.06–$193.55
Next EarningsMay 7

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

Mar 18, 2026, 9:07 PM57conviction-rescore

DCF P(above)=97%, FV=$126 vs price $84. Below 200dma (headwind). Analyst target $117 (39% upside). Prior target $105. GoDaddy — SMB web services, growing commerce/payments layer. Strong DCF, strong analyst upside. Below 200dma is the one missing element preventing 8.

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$125.30
Current Price$79.97
Upside / Down+56.7%
P(Undervalued)98.2%
P(20%+ Up)88.9%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

98.2% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-2.6%/yr

±3.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-11.0%/yr

±2.3% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 4
Conviction: unchanged
GDDY 10-K FY2025: Stable Core, AI Pivot, Existential Questions

Stable 8% revenue grower with 85% retention and strong domain leadership. AI pivot via Airo and ANS shows management leaning into disruption rather than ignoring it. Key question is whether domains/we...