Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
37.1%/yr
±2.8% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
43.4%/yr
±3.6% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States.
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FIX 2025 10-K: Revenue +29.5% to .1B, gross margin +310bps to 24.1%, operating income +75% to .3B. Backlog 99.3% up YoY to .9B. Tech sector driving growth (45% of revenue, data center capex). Executio...