FCX

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
Basic MaterialsCopperNASDAQ
$57.10
+$1.70 (2.97%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$67.27
Upside+17.81%
Signal0
Market Cap$78.5B
52W Range$27.66–$69.75
Next EarningsApr 23

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 93% valid
Fair Value$10.32
Current Price$56.24
Upside / Down-81.7%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

32.9%/yr

±5.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

56.9%/yr

±4.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Freeport-McMoRan Inc.

Trailing P/E35.9x
Forward P/E14.4x
P/S3.0x
EPS (TTM)$1.52
Analyst Target$67.27
Analyst Upside17.8%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1
Conviction: unchanged
FCX 10-K FY2025: Grasberg Mud Rush Impaired Year, Strong Recovery Setup Into 2026

FCX's 2025 was defined by the September mud rush at Grasberg (7 fatalities, halted Grasberg Block Cave operations), which devastated production in H2 2025. Despite this, copper prices averaged .51/lb ...