Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
32.9%/yr
±5.2% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
56.9%/yr
±4.0% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Freeport-McMoRan Inc.
No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.
No analysis yet
No analysis yet
FCX's 2025 was defined by the September mud rush at Grasberg (7 fatalities, halted Grasberg Block Cave operations), which devastated production in H2 2025. Despite this, copper prices averaged .51/lb ...