FANG

Diamondback Energy, Inc.

EnergyOil & Gas E&PNASDAQ

$195.39

+$5.88 (3.01%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$209.03

Upside+6.98%

Signal0

Market Cap$56.0B

52W Range$114–$204.91

Next EarningsMay 4

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$396.03

Current Price$201.84

Upside / Down+96.2%

P(Undervalued)95.7%

P(20%+ Up)90.0%

P(15%+ Down)1.9%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

95.7% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

5.4%/yr

±6.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Diamondback Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, acquires, develops, explores, and exploits unconventional, onshore oil and natural gas reserves in the Permian Basin in West Texas, the United States.

Trailing P/E34.7x

Forward P/E13.4x

P/S3.9x

EPS (TTM)$5.73

Analyst Target$209.03

Analyst Upside7.0%

No Eagle analysis yet. Request a full review including conviction score, bull/bear cases, and thesis.

Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

FANG FY2025 10-K: Strong Execution, Full Valuation

Quality Permian operator with strong 2025 execution; production +53%, margins held, capex controlled. Fair value $25-28/share assuming $55-60 WTI. Valuation full; limited upside at current levels. Rec...