EQR

Equity Residential

Real EstateREIT - ResidentialNASDAQ

$58.88

+$0.47 (0.80%)today

Conviction

6/ 10

Fair Value$70.07

Upside+19.01%

Signal11.41

Market Cap$22.9B

52W Range$57.57–$72.40

Next EarningsApr 28

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$46.85

Current Price$58.75

Upside / Down-20.3%

P(Undervalued)15.4%

P(20%+ Up)3.5%

P(15%+ Down)61.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

15.4% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

7.8%/yr

±4.1% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

6.7%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case

Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3

Conviction: unchanged

EQR FY2025 10-K: Premium Coastal REIT with Diverse Portfolio and Macro Tailwinds

EQR: Diversified, operator-led multifamily REIT with premium coastal market exposure, strong occupancy, active development pipeline, and macro tailwinds from housing supply/demand imbalance. Key risks...