DUK

Duke Energy Corporation

UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricNASDAQ

$128.39

-$2.32 (-1.80%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$138.29

Upside+7.71%

Signal0

Market Cap$102.5B

52W Range$111.22–$134.49

Next EarningsMay 5

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$134.33

Current Price$129.99

Upside / Down+3.3%

P(Undervalued)53.7%

P(20%+ Up)32.5%

P(15%+ Down)29.6%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

53.7% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

3.6%/yr

±6.2% · revenue growth to justify current price

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Duke Energy Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company in the United States.

Trailing P/E20.9x

Forward P/E18.4x

P/S3.2x

EPS (TTM)$6.30

Analyst Target$138.29

Analyst Upside7.7%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1

Conviction: unchanged

DUK 10-K FY2025: B Capex Machine — Data Center Load Growth Changes the Utility Calculus

DUK delivered 2025 adj. EPS of $6.31 (+6.9% YoY), announced the largest capex plan in US utility history at $103B (2026-2030), and extended 5-7% EPS CAGR target through 2030. Data centers = 75% of eco...