DOV

Dover Corporation
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryNASDAQ
$205.83
-$6.26 (-3.04%)today
Conviction
6/ 10
Fair Value$231.82
Upside+12.63%
Signal7.58
Market Cap$27.4B
52W Range$143.04–$237.54
Next EarningsApr 23

Conviction History

Conviction Changes

No conviction changes recorded

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$92.24
Current Price$206.60
Upside / Down-55.4%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

21.8%/yr

±5.7% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

20.8%/yr

±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Bull Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Bear Case
Queued for analysis

Eagle will generate this view by the next trading session (~7h).

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 3
Conviction: unchanged
Dover 2025 10-K: Mixed Organic Growth Offset by Margin Expansion & M&A Momentum

Diversified industrial manufacturer executing operational excellence playbook; margin expansion offsetting near-term growth headwinds. Strong M&A track record, fortress balance sheet, and secular posi...