DASH

DoorDash, Inc.
Consumer CyclicalInternet RetailNASDAQ
$153.26
-$10.90 (-7.11%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$256.03
Upside+67.06%
Signal0
Market Cap$64.3B
52W Range$143.30–$285.50
Next EarningsMay 11

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$58.06
Current Price$146.60
Upside / Down-60.4%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

37.4%/yr

±2.7% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

37.4%/yr

±3.5% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

DoorDash, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a commerce platform that connects merchants, consumers, and dashers in the United States and internationally.

Trailing P/E69.5x
Forward P/E19.4x
P/S4.7x
EPS (TTM)$2.13
Analyst Target$256.03
Analyst Upside67.1%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2
Conviction: unchanged
DoorDash 2025 10-K: Post-Deliveroo Mega-Deal Integration Risk & Execution Headwinds

DASH post-Deliveroo (Oct 2025 acquisition) faces near-term integration risk, Dasher cost inflation from EU worker reclassification precedent (Finland May 2025), and regulatory headwinds. Strong market...