CTVA

Corteva, Inc.

Basic MaterialsAgricultural InputsNASDAQ

$82.24

+$3.01 (3.66%)today

Conviction

0/ 10

Fair Value$83.95

Upside+2.08%

Signal0

Market Cap$55.8B

52W Range$53.40–$83.60

Next EarningsMay 5

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid

Fair Value$66.80

Current Price$81.99

Upside / Down-18.5%

P(Undervalued)19.6%

P(20%+ Up)5.3%

P(15%+ Down)56.7%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

19.6% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

6.5%/yr

±7.3% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

1.2%/yr

±2.9% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Corteva, Inc.

Trailing P/E47.5x

Forward P/E20.5x

P/S3.2x

EPS (TTM)$1.75

Analyst Target$83.95

Analyst Upside2.1%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

No analysis yet

Research Feed

sec_10kMar 2

Conviction: unchanged

Corteva 2025: Seed-Crop Protection Separation and Margin Pressure

CTVA 2025 10-K: Planned separation into Seed and Crop Protection. Seed strong with dominant Enlist E3; Crop Protection faces margin pressure from patents/generics. Regulatory (EPA), geopolitical (Chin...