CB

Chubb Limited
Financial ServicesInsurance - Property & CasualtyNASDAQ
$324.26
-$3.68 (-1.14%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$338.91
Upside+4.52%
Signal0
Market Cap$127.2B
52W Range$264.10–$345.67
Next EarningsApr 28

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$865.98
Current Price$319.09
Upside / Down+171.4%
P(Undervalued)100.0%
P(20%+ Up)100.0%
P(15%+ Down)0.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

100.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

-7.0%/yr

±2.8% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

-19.1%/yr

±1.0% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin expansion or capex normalization

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

Chubb Limited provides insurance and reinsurance products worldwide.

Trailing P/E12.7x
Forward P/E11.2x
P/S2.1x
EPS (TTM)$25.69
Analyst Target$338.91
Analyst Upside4.5%

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Bull Case

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Bear Case

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Research Feed

sec_10kMar 1
Conviction: unchanged
CB FY2025 10-K: Record Year Despite Wildfire Headwinds

Chubb delivered record results across virtually every metric in FY2025. Core operating income of $9.95B (+8.9%), NPW of $54.8B (+6.6%), and a record-low P&C combined ratio of 85.7% — achieved despite ...