Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
29.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
7.2%/yr
±5.5% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
17.6%/yr
±3.0% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Citigroup Inc., a diversified financial service holding company, provides various financial products and services to consumers, corporations, governments, and institutions.
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Citi's 2025 10-K confirms transformation thesis: revenue +7% adj, net income .1B adj, CET1 13.2%. Banamex exit complete, Russia charges taken. Forward P/E 9.1x on + EPS implies massive re-rating poten...