Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
28.2%/yr
±6.0% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
37.0%/yr
±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
ATI Inc.
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New discovery via 200dma screen. Specialty metals aerospace. Needs research.