ATI

ATI Inc.
IndustrialsMetal FabricationNASDAQ
$149.06
-$0.58 (-0.39%)today
Conviction
0/ 10
Fair Value$159.75
Upside+7.17%
Signal0
Market Cap$18.6B
52W Range$39.23–$168.14
Next EarningsApr 30

Price History

FAIR VALUE ANALYSISMonte Carlo · 5,000 runs · 99% valid
Fair Value$48.18
Current Price$140.43
Upside / Down-65.7%
P(Undervalued)0.0%
P(20%+ Up)0.0%
P(15%+ Down)100.0%

Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands

0.0% of simulations place fair value above current price

WHAT IS PRICED IN

Revenue-Based Reverse DCF

28.2%/yr

±6.0% · revenue growth to justify current price

FCF-Based Reverse DCF

37.0%/yr

±3.8% · FCF growth to justify current price

THE GAP

Market pricing margin compression or rising capex

KEY VALUE DRIVERS

Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most

Quick Take

ATI Inc.

Trailing P/E47.7x
Forward P/E27.3x
P/S4.1x
EPS (TTM)$2.85
Analyst Target$159.75
Analyst Upside7.2%

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Bull Case

No analysis yet

Bear Case

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Research Feed

noteMar 18
Conviction: unchanged
Initial Discovery — 200 DMA Screen

New discovery via 200dma screen. Specialty metals aerospace. Needs research.