Fair Value Distribution — percentile bands
83.7% of simulations place fair value above current price
WHAT IS PRICED IN
Revenue-Based Reverse DCF
4.5%/yr
±4.1% · revenue growth to justify current price
FCF-Based Reverse DCF
10.3%/yr
±3.1% · FCF growth to justify current price
THE GAP
Market pricing margin compression or rising capex
KEY VALUE DRIVERS
Spearman correlation — what moves this valuation most
Aon plc operates as a professional services firm in the United States, rest of the Americas, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.
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AON's 2025 10-K shows steady professional services growth with .2B consolidated revenue (.3B Risk Capital, .9B Human Capital). Strong competitive moat through scale, proprietary analytics, and recurri...